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Shock and yawn: Geopolitics, market resilience and the AI effect

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In this video, we explore what’s driving market resilience – and the risks and opportunities investors should be watching. The year-to-date has certainly presented its share of challenges, yet markets have remained buoyant, supported by resilient consumers, robust labour markets, and the excitement surrounding what many are calling a new industrial revolution led by Artificial Intelligence (AI).

Please note: except where otherwise noted or quoted, the views in this article are those of Perpetual Private’s Investment Research Team.

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Inside the report, we delve into the fortunes of the major asset classes to which we allocate, conduct a deep-dive into AI in our Special Article, as well as consider the major political, geopolitical and economic themes that will likely determine the path of investment returns ahead.

We see this moment in time as one that warrants heightened vigilance and a parsimonious attitude to risk, as we seek to benefit from upward momentum, whilst protecting the value of the assets of which we are privileged to manage.

With the path ahead likely to be imbued with the dual and competing considerations of a heightened level of risk, combined with an elevated potential for return, we look forward to the end of 2025 and the start of 2026 with a healthy degree of cautious optimism. 

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Perpetual Private advice and services are provided by Perpetual Trustee Company Limited (PTCo) ABN 42 000 001 007, AFSL 236643. This information was prepared by PTCo and Perpetual Investment Management Limited (PIML) ABN 1800 866 535, AFSL 234426 and is used by PTCo. It contains general information only and is not intended to provide you with financial advice or take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider, with a financial adviser, whether the information is suitable for your circumstances. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. The information is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation and is provided in good faith.

PTCo do not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information contributed by a third party. Any views expressed in this article are opinions of the author at the time of writing and do not constitute a recommendation to act. This information, including any assumptions and conclusions is not intended to be a comprehensive statement of relevant practice or law that is often complex and can change. No company in the Perpetual Group (Perpetual Limited ABN 86 000 431 827 and its subsidiaries) guarantees the performance of any fund or the return of an investor’s capital. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.